In 2016, President Trump received just 28% of the Latino vote, which was just 1% higher than Mitt Romney earned in 2012. He’s doing much better in polls heading into the 2020 election, and according to Telemundo, 66% of the network’s Spanish voters felt Trump defeated Joe Biden in the first presidential debate.
It will be interesting to continue to follow these numbers, because many analysts believe swing states like Arizona and Florida will play a huge roll in picking the next president, and there are large numbers of Latino voters in those states. It’s a stat that probably has Democratic strategists scrambling. The U.S. Census says over 30% of Arizona’s population is Hispanic. NPR.org reports that Trump and his allies have spent $26.3 million in Arizona up to this point, which appears to be an investment paying dividends.
Numerous polls say Biden is leading among Latino voters in Florida, a state that Michael Bloomberg has vowed to spend up to $100 million to elect Biden. In 2016, almost all projections showed Hilary Clinton a clear favorite among Latinos, women and black voters. Those poll projections clearly did not hold up.
And in yet another example of how polls are essentially useless and reveal very little real information that holds up in something as unpredictable as the 2020 election, a new poll in Texas released this week said Latinos favored Joe Biden in the Lone Star state by that same margin of 2-1 that Telemundo said Trump has nationally.